Tuesday, February 23, 2010


Above are chart setup for GBP/JPY, GBPUSD, and EURUSD.
GBP/JPY downtrend may continue this week after 2-week retracement from 138.26 and went as high as 143.63 last week. I currently shorting this pair as long it stays below the falling trendline.

GBP/USD broke 1.5707 support area on weekly chart. 100% projection is near 78.6% retracement or the green horizontal line (see chart).

EUR/USD reached 61.8% retracement which is the target from the previous post. The pair may have completed the third wave from 1.5144 top at this level. However the outlook is still bearish in daily chart as long the channel remain intact. First resistance is the last week high around 1.3780.

Thursday, February 11, 2010

EUR/USD Reach Target

The pair has reach the target mentioned in previous post and found support at 1.3582. The pair retrace back to 1.38 since the open of this week market. It has not been clear yet of the retracement pattern this time, but I think the down trend ain't over just yet. On daily chart above, we can see that 1.3800 area was a serious support level around June last year, and even at weekly chart we can see a clear break from 1.3800. First target is the 61.8% retracement of 1.2457 to 1.5144 at 1.3483. You can see other levels in the chart above.

Tuesday, February 02, 2010

EUR/USD Bearish View

Above are EUR/USD monthly and daily charts. I tried to count the wave on monthly chart which suggest that the pair is on the third correction wave (c). The bottom of wave 4 is at 1.1639, just between the 50% and 61.8% retracement level of 0.8225 to 1.6037.

On daily chart, the pair already broken 61.8% extension of 1.5140 to 1.4217 from 1.4577. The 100% projection is around 1.3660 and 161.8% around 1.3090. Set your stop loss and let the pair fall guys!